The Winner Estimate of ESC 2026

Switzerland

Vienna, Austria
12th, 14th and 16th May 2026


Line

Info page of 2026
Pre-chart of 2026

The estimate will be counted:

- 20% of points based on the recent history placings 2021-2025: modified from Average placings (21st January)
- 20% of points based on the Pre-chart 2025 (coming later)
- 20% of points based on the betting odds: ODDSCHECKER.COM (coming later)
- 20% of points based on the streams on Spotify: (coming later))
- 20% of points based on ESCSTATS expertise (staging, live singing, choreography, dresses, hype, etc.) (coming later)

See how we estimated last year!

Line

Winner Estimate 2026

(real results in brackets)

updated 23rd January 2026

POSFINALSEMI1SEMI2 COUNTRYHISTORYPRE-CHARTODDSSTREAMSEXPERTISETOTAL
11--ItalyItaly+5
22-1UkraineUkraine+5
331-SwedenSweden+5
442-IsraelIsrael+4
55--FranceFrance+4
66-2SwitzerlandSwitzerland+4
773-GreeceGreece+4
884-FinlandFinland+3
995-LithuaniaLithuania+3
10106-EstoniaEstonia+3
1111-3NorwayNorway+2
12127-PortugalPortugal+2
13138-MoldovaMoldova+2
14139-CroatiaCroatia+1
1515--AustriaAustria+1
161610-SerbiaSerbia+1
1717-4ArmeniaArmenia+1
1818-5BulgariaBulgaria+1
1919--United KingdomUnited Kingdom-1
2020-6LuxembourgLuxembourg-1
2121-7CyprusCyprus-1
2222-8MaltaMalta-2
2323-9AustraliaAustralia-2
24-11-BelgiumBelgium-2
25-12-PolandPoland-2
2624--GermanyGermany-3
2725-10AlbaniaAlbania-3
28--11LatviaLatvia-3
29--12CzechiaCzechia-4
30--13AzerbaijanAzerbaijan-4
31--14RomaniaRomania-4
32-13-San MarinoSan Marino-5
33-14-GeorgiaGeorgia-5
34--15DenmarkDenmark-5
35-15-MontenegroMontenegro-5
Q = qualified

- if there's a tie, better points counts in this order: ESCSTATS expertise, streams, betting odds, pre-chart and history
- if there's still a tie, better average placing (2021-2025) counts



Line

Here are the entries in ESC 2023:

# COUNTRYPERFORMER(S)TITLE
1AlbaniaAlisNān
2Armenia
3Australia
4Austria
5Azerbaijan
6Belgium
7Bulgaria
8Croatia
9CyprusAntigoni
10Czechia
11Denmark
12Estonia
13Finland
14France
15GeorgiaBzikebi
16Germany
17Greece
18IsraelNoam Bettan
19Italy
20Latvia
21Lithuania
22Luxembourg
23MaltaAidanBella
24MoldovaSatoshiViva, Moldova!
25MontenegroTamara ŽivkovićNova zora
26Norway
27Poland
28Portugal
29Romania
30San Marino
31Serbia
32Sweden
33SwitzerlandVeronica Fusaro
34Ukraine
35United Kingdom

ESCSTATS.COM is in no way officially connected to or endorsed by the Eurovision Song Contest organisation.


Line

Back to frontpage