The Winner Estimate of ESC 2026

Austria

Vienna, Austria
12th, 14th and 16th May 2026


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Info page of 2026
Pre-chart of 2026

The estimate will be counted:

- 20% of points based on the recent history placings 2021-2025: modified from Average placings (21st January)
- 20% of points based on the Pre-chart 2026 (23rd March)
- 20% of points based on the betting odds: ODDSCHECKER.COM (19th February)
- 20% of points based on daily YouTube views on official Eurovision channel: (28th March)
- 20% of points based on ESCSTATS expertise (staging, live singing, choreography, dresses, hype, etc.) (coming later)

See how we estimated last year!

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Winner Estimate 2026

updated 29th March 2026

POSFINALSEMI1SEMI2 COUNTRYHISTORYPRE-CHARTODDSSTREAMSEXPERTISETOTAL
111-FinlandFinland+18
222-GreeceGreece+18
333-IsraelIsrael+17
44--FranceFrance+16
554-SwedenSweden+16
66--ItalyItaly+14
77-1CyprusCyprus+12
88-2BulgariaBulgaria+12
99--United KingdomUnited Kingdom+8
1010-3DenmarkDenmark+7
1111-4AustraliaAustralia+6
1212-5ArmeniaArmenia+4
1313-6SwitzerlandSwitzerland+2
14145-CroatiaCroatia+1
1515-7NorwayNorway0
1616-8UkraineUkraine0
1717-9RomaniaRomania-1
18186-MoldovaMoldova-1
1919-10MaltaMalta-1
20207-SerbiaSerbia-3
21218-BelgiumBelgium-3
22229-PolandPoland-4
23--11AlbaniaAlbania-4
242310-GeorgiaGeorgia-5
25--12CzechiaCzechia-5
26--13LuxembourgLuxembourg-6
2724--AustriaAustria-7
2825--GermanyGermany-7
29-11-PortugalPortugal-9
30--14LatviaLatvia-10
31-12-EstoniaEstonia-10
32-13-LithuaniaLithuania-11
33-14-MontenegroMontenegro-11
34--15AzerbaijanAzerbaijan-12
35-15-San MarinoSan Marino-18
Q = qualified

- if there's a tie, better points counts in this order: ESCSTATS expertise, streams, betting odds, pre-chart and history
- if there's still a tie, better average placing (2021-2025) counts


#1 Finland: Linda x Pete#2 Greece: Akylas#3 Israel: Noam Bettan

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Here are the entries in ESC 2026:

# COUNTRYPERFORMER(S)TITLE
1AlbaniaAlisNân
2ArmeniaSimónPaloma rumba
3AustraliaDelta GoodremEclipse
4AustriaCosmóTanzschein
5AzerbaijanJivaJust go
6BelgiumEssylaDancing on the ice
7BulgariaDaraBangaranga
8CroatiaLelekAndromeda
9CyprusAntigoniJalla
10CzechiaDaniel ŽižkaCrossroads
11DenmarkSøren TorpegaardFør vi går hjem
12EstoniaVanilla NinjaToo epic to be true
13FinlandLinda Lampenius x Pete ParkkonenLiekinheitin
14FranceMonroeRegarde !
15GeorgiaBzikebiOn replay
16GermanySarah EngelsFire
17GreeceAkylasFerto
18IsraelNoam BettanMichelle
19ItalySal Da VinciPer sempre sì
20LatviaAtvaraĒnā
21LithuaniaLion CeccahSólo quiero más
22LuxembourgEva MarijaMother nature
23MaltaAidanBella
24MoldovaSatoshiViva, Moldova!
25MontenegroTamara ŽivkovićNova zora
26NorwayJonas LovvYa ya ya
27PolandAlicjaPray
28PortugalBandidos do CanteRosa
29RomaniaAlexandra CăpitănescuChoke me
30San MarinoSenhit ft. Boy GeorgeSuperstar
31SerbiaLavinaKraj mene
32SwedenFeliciaMy system
33SwitzerlandVeronica FusaroAlice
34UkraineLelékaRidnym
35United KingdomLOOK MUM NO COMPUTEREins, zwei, drei

ESCSTATS.COM is in no way officially connected to or endorsed by the Eurovision Song Contest organisation.


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