Estimate of the winner of ESC 2012

Azerbaijan

Baku, Azerbaijan
semifinals 22nd & 24th May
final 26th May

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The estimate will be counted:

- 20% of points based on the history points (half based on the points given by national juries 2004-2011 i.g. Points of Finland and half based on the average placings 1957-2011) (23rd March)
- 20% of points based on the points given by Pre-chart of 2012, national jury score (7th May)
- 20% of points based on the betting odds: ODDSCHECKER.COM (7th May)
- 20% of points based on the show (choreography, live singing, dresses etc.) This will be judged during rehearsals in Baku. (20th May)
- 20% of points based on the phenomenon (media interest, audience reactions etc.) This will be judged during rehearsals and press conferences in Baku. (20th May)

See how we estimated last year!

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Estimate of the winner of ESC 2012


(real results in brackets)


updated 20th May 2012

IN FINALSEMI 1SEMI 2 COUNTRYHISTORYCHARTODDSSHOWPHENOMENONTOTAL
1(1)1(1)Sweden24
2(3)2(2)Serbia23
3(2)1(1)Russia21
4(9)Italy21
5(23)2(9)Denmark16
6(16)3(7)Cyprus16
7(20)4(8)Iceland16
8(7)3(5)Turkey15
9(10)Spain14
10(12)5(3)Romania14
11(26)4(10)Norway14
12(5)Azerbaijan12
13(15)5(8)Ukraine11
14(25)United Kingdom9
15(17)6(4)Greece9
16(6)6(4)Estonia8
17(22)France6
18(18)7(6)Bosnia & Herzegovina5
19(-)8(17)Slovenia4
20(8)Germany3
21(5)7(2)Albania1
22(19)8(6)Ireland0
23(13)9(9)FYR Macedonia-1
24(11)9(5)Moldova-2
25(-)10(12)Croatia-4
26(-)10(13)Israel-5
-11(11)Switzerland-5
-11(15)Netherlands-6
-12(11)Bulgaria-7
-13(14)Georgia-11
-14(16)Belarus-12
-12(12)Finland-13
-(24)13(10)Hungary-14
-(21)15(7)Malta-15
-14(18)Austria-16
-15(17)Belgium-16
-16(16)Latvia-17
-16(13)Portugal-19
-17(18)Slovakia-20
-17(15)Montenegro-21
-(14)18(3)Lithuania-21
-18(14)San Marino-25

- if there's a tie, better points counts in this order: phenomenon, show, odds, pre-chart and history

Sweden: LoreenItaly: Nina ZilliSerbia: Željko Joksimović
#1 Sweden: Loreen#2 Italy: Nina Zilli#3 Serbia: Željko Joksimović

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Here are the entries in ESC 2012:

# COUNTRYPERFORMER(S)TITLE
1AlbaniaAlbaniaRona NishliuSuus
2AustriaAustriaTrackshittazWoki mit deim Popo
3AzerbaijanAzerbaijanSabina BabayevaWhen the music dies
4BelarusBelarusLitesoundWe are the heroes
5BelgiumBelgiumIrisWould you?
6Bosnia & HerzegovinaBosnia & HerzegovinaMaya SarKorake ti znam
7BulgariaBulgariaSofi MarinovaLove unlimited
8CroatiaCroatiaNina BadrićNebo
9CyprusCyprusIvi AdamouLa la love
10DenmarkDenmarkSoluna SamayShould've known better
11EstoniaEstoniaOtt LeplandKuula
12FinlandFinlandPernillaNär jag blundar
13FranceFranceAnggunEcho (You and I)
14FYR MacedoniaFYR MacedoniaKaliopiCrno i belo
15GeorgiaGeorgiaAnri JokhadzeI'm a joker
16GermanyGermanyRoman LobStanding still
17GreeceGreeceEleftheria EleftheriouAphrodisiac
18HungaryHungaryCompact DiscoSound of our hearts
19IcelandIcelandGreta Salóme & JónsiNever forget
20IrelandIrelandJedwardWaterline
21IsraelIsraelIzaboTime
22ItalyItalyNina ZilliL'amore è femmina
23LatviaLatviaAnmaryBeautiful song
24LithuaniaLithuaniaDonny MontellLove is blind
25MaltaMaltaKurt Calleja This is the night
26MoldovaMoldovaPasha ParfenyLăutar
27MontenegroMontenegroRambo AmadeusEuro neuro
28NetherlandsNetherlandsJoan FrankaYou and me
29NorwayNorwayToojiStay
30PortugalPortugalFilipa SousaVida minha
31RomaniaRomaniaMandingaZaleilah
32RussiaRussiaBuranovskiye BabushkiParty for everybody
33San MarinoSan MarinoValentina MonettaThe social network song (oh oh-uh-oh oh)
34SerbiaSerbiaŽeljko JoksimovićNije ljubav stvar
35SlovakiaSlovakiaMax Jason MaiDon't close your eyes
36SloveniaSloveniaEva BotoVerjamem
37SpainSpainPastora SolerQuédate conmigo
38SwedenSwedenLoreenEuphoria
39SwitzerlandSwitzerlandSinplusUnbreakable
40TurkeyTurkeyCan BonomoLove me back
41UkraineUkraineGaitanaBe my guest
42United KingdomUnited KingdomEngelbert HumperdinckLove will set you free
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