The estimate will be counted:
- 20% of points based on the recent history placings 2018-2023 (LUX 1989-1993): based on Average placings, last 5 finals (25th March)
- 20% of points based on the National Jury Score 2024, based on Pre-chart (5th May)
- 20% of points based on the betting odds: ODDSCHECKER.COM (5th May)
- 20% of points based on the views and streams MOST WATCHED and SPOTIFY STREAMS (5th May)
- 20% of points based on ESCSTATS expertise (staging, live singing, choreography, dresses, hype, etc.) (5th May)
| POS | FINAL | SEMI1 | SEMI2 | COUNTRY | HISTORY | PRE-CHART | ODDS | STREAMS | EXPERTISE | TOTAL | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 (3) | 1 (2) | - | | Ukraine | | | | | | +23 |
| 2 | 2 (7) | - | - | | Italy | | | | | | +23 |
| 3 | 3 (1) | - | 1 (4) | | Switzerland | | | | | | +22 |
| 4 | 4 (5) | - | 2 (1) | | Israel | | | | | | +20 |
| 5 | 5 (2) | 2 (1) | - | | Croatia | | | | | | +19 |
| 6 | 6 (DQ) | - | 3 (2) | | Netherlands | | | | | | +16 |
| 7 | 7 (4) | - | - | | France | | | | | | +14 |
| 8 | 8 (11) | - | 4 (5) | | Greece | | | | | | +13 |
| 9 | 9 (24) | - | 5 (9) | | Austria | | | | | | +13 |
| 10 | 10 (-) | - | 6 (13) | | Belgium | | | | | | +12 |
| 11 | 11 (9) | - | - | | Sweden | | | | | | +11 |
| 12 | 12 (14) | 3 (4) | - | | Lithuania | | | | | | +11 |
| 13 | 13 (8) | - | 7 (3) | | Armenia | | | | | | +8 |
| 14 | 14 (18) | - | - | | United Kingdom | | | | | | +7 |
| 15 | 15 (25) | - | 8 (10) | | Norway | | | | | | +5 |
| 16 | 16 (15) | 4 (6) | - | | Cyprus | | | | | | +4 |
| 17 | 17 (6) | 5 (3) | - | | Ireland | | | | | | +1 |
| 18 | 18 (19) | 6 (7) | - | | Finland | | | | | | 0 |
| 19 | 19 (12) | - | - | | Germany | | | | | | -1 |
| 20 | 20 (20) | - | 9 (6) | | Estonia | | | | | | -1 |
| 21 | 21 (22) | - | - | | Spain | | | | | | -2 |
| 22 | 22 (-) | - | 10 (12) | | Denmark | | | | | | -3 |
| 23 | 23 (-) | 7 (14) | - | | Azerbaijan | | | | | | -3 |
| 24 | 24 (13) | 8 (5) | - | | Luxembourg | | | | | | -4 |
| 25 | 25 (23) | 9 (9) | - | | Slovenia | | | | | | -5 |
| 26 | 26 (-) | 10 (12) | - | | Poland | | | | | | -7 |
| 27 | - (-) | - | 11 (11) | | Czechia | | | | | | -7 |
| 28 | - (-) | 11 (11) | - | | Australia | | | | | | -8 |
| 29 | - (17) | 12 (10) | - | | Serbia | | | | | | -10 |
| 30 | - (-) | - | 12 (16) | | Malta | | | | | | -13 |
| 31 | - (-) | 13 (13) | - | | Moldova | | | | | | -14 |
| 32 | - (10) | 14 (8) | - | | Portugal | | | | | | -15 |
| 33 | - (-) | 15 (15) | - | | Iceland | | | | | | -16 |
| 34 | - (21) | - | 13 (8) | | Georgia | | | | | | -16 |
| 35 | - (16) | - | 14 (7) | | Latvia | | | | | | -18 |
| 36 | - (-) | - | 15 (15) | | Albania | | | | | | -19 |
| 37 | - (-) | - | 16 (14) | | San Marino | | | | | | -21 |
- if there's a tie, better points counts in this order: ESCSTATS expertise, streams, betting odds, pre-chart and history
- if there's still a tie, better average placing (2018-2023) counts
 |  |  |
| #1 Ukraine: alyona alyona & Jerry Heil | #2 Italy: Angelina Mango | #3 Switzerland: Nemo |
| # | COUNTRY | PERFORMER(S) | TITLE | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | | Albania | Besa Kokëdhima | Titan |
| 2 | | Armenia | Ladaniva | Jako |
| 3 | | Australia | Electric Fields | One milkali (one blood) |
| 4 | | Austria | Kaleen | We will rave |
| 5 | | Azerbaijan | FAHREE feat. Ilkin Davlatov | Özünlə apar |
| 6 | | Belgium | Mustii | Before the party's over |
| 7 | | Croatia | Baby Lasagna | Rim tim tagi dim |
| 8 | | Cyprus | Silia Kapsis | Liar |
| 9 | | Czechia | Aiko | Pedestal |
| 10 | | Denmark | Saba | Sand |
| 11 | | Estonia | 5miinust & Puuluup | (nendest) narkootikumidest ei tea me (küll) midagi |
| 12 | | Finland | Windows95man | No rules! |
| 13 | | France | Slimane | Mon amour |
| 14 | | Georgia | Nutsa Buzaladze | Firefighter |
| 15 | | Germany | Isaak | Always on the run |
| 16 | | Greece | Marina Satti | Zari |
| 17 | | Iceland | Hera Björk | Scared of heights |
| 18 | | Ireland | Bambie Thug | Doomsday blues |
| 19 | | Israel | Eden Golan | Hurricane |
| 20 | | Italy | Angelina Mango | La noia |
| 21 | | Latvia | Dons | Hollow |
| 22 | | Lithuania | Silvester Belt | Luktelk |
| 23 | | Luxembourg | Tali | Fighter |
| 24 | | Malta | Sarah Bonnici | Loop |
| 25 | | Moldova | Natalia Barbu | In the middle |
| 26 | | Netherlands | Joost Klein | Europapa |
| 27 | | Norway | Gåte | Ulveham |
| 28 | | Poland | Luna | The tower |
| 29 | | Portugal | Iolanda | Grito |
| 30 | | San Marino | Megara | 11:11 |
| 31 | | Serbia | Teya Dora | Ramonda |
| 32 | | Slovenia | Raiven | Veronika |
| 33 | | Spain | Nebulossa | Zorra |
| 34 | | Sweden | Marcus & Martinus | Unforgettable |
| 35 | | Switzerland | Nemo | The code |
| 36 | | Ukraine | alyona alyona & Jerry Heil | Teresa & Maria |
| 37 | | United Kingdom | Olly Alexander | Dizzy |
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