9th, 11th & 13th May
The estimate will be counted:
- 20% of points based on the recent history placings 2017-2022: based on Average placings in finals 2004-2022 (19th March)
- 20% of points based on the Pre-chart 2023 (30th April)
- 20% of points based on the betting odds: ODDSCHECKER.COM (6th May)
- 20% of points based on the streams YOUTUBE & SPOTIFY STREAMS (1st May)
- 20% of points based on ESCSTATS expertise (staging, live singing, choreography, dresses, hype, etc.) (7th May)
| POS | FINAL | SEMI1 | SEMI2 | COUNTRY | HISTORY | PRE-CHART | ODDS | STREAMS | EXPERTISE | TOTAL | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 (1) | 1 (2) | - |  | Sweden |  | | | | | +25 |
| 2 | 2 (5) | 2 (6) | - |  | Norway | | | | | | +23 |
| 3 | 3 (16) | - | - |  | France | | | | | | +23 |
| 4 | 4 (4) | - | - |  | Italy | | | | | | +23 |
| 5 | 5 (2) | 3 (1) | - |  | Finland |  | | | | | +16 |
| 6 | 6 (3) | 4 (3) | - |  | Israel | | | | | | +16 |
| 7 | 7 (25) | - | - |  | United Kingdom | | | | | | +15 |
| 8 | 8 (10) | 5 (4) | - |  | Czech Republic | | | | | | +13 |
| 9 | 9 (17) | - | - |  | Spain | | | | | | +11 |
| 10 | 10 (6) | - | - | | Ukraine | | | | | | +11 |
| 11 | 11 (18) | 6 (5) | - |  | Moldova | | | | | | +10 |
| 12 | 12 (15) | - | 1 (2) |  | Austria | | | | | | +10 |
| 13 | 13 (14) | - | 2 (6) |  | Armenia | | | | | | +8 |
| 14 | 14 (24) | 7 (10) | - |  | Serbia | | | | | | +8 |
| 15 | 15 (12) | - | 3 (7) |  | Cyprus | | | | | | +7 |
| 16 | 16 (13) | 8 (8) | - |  | Croatia | | | | | | +5 |
| 17 | 17 (20) | 9 (7) | - |  | Switzerland | | | | | | +4 |
| 18 | 18 (19) | - | 4 (3) |  | Poland | | | | | | +3 |
| 19 | 19 (23) | 10 (9) | - |  | Portugal | | | | | | +3 |
| 20 | 20 (21) | - | 5 (5) |  | Slovenia | | | | | | +2 |
| 21 | 21 (9) | - | 6 (1) |  | Australia | | | | | | +1 |
| 22 | 22 (26) | - | - |  | Germany | | | | | | -1 |
| 23 | - | 11 (13) | - |  | Netherlands | | | | | | -1 |
| 24 | 23 (7) | - | 7 (8) |  | Belgium | | | | | | -4 |
| 25 | 24 (8) | - | 8 (10) |  | Estonia | | | | | | -7 |
| 26 | 25 (-) | - | 9 (14) |  | Denmark | | | | | | -8 |
| 27 | - | 12 (14) | - |  | Azerbaijan | | | | | | -9 |
| 28 | 26 (-) | - | 10 (11) |  | Iceland | | | | | | -9 |
| 29 | - (11) | - | 11 (4) |  | Lithuania | | | | | | -9 |
| 30 | - | - | 12 (13) |  | Greece | | | | | | -11 |
| 31 | - | - | 13 (12) |  | Georgia | | | | | | -12 |
| 32 | - (22) | - | 14 (9) |  | Albania | | | | | | -16 |
| 33 | - | 13 (11) | - |  | Latvia | | | | | | -17 |
| 34 | - | 14 (15) | - |  | Malta | | | | | | -17 |
| 35 | - | 15 (12) | - |  | Ireland | | | | | | -17 |
| 36 | - | - | 15 (16) |  | Romania | | | | | | -22 |
| 37 | - | - | 16 (15) |  | San Marino | | | | | | -24 |
- if there's a tie, better points counts in this order: ESCSTATS expertise, streams, betting odds, pre-chart and history
- if there's still a tie, better average placing (2017-2022) counts
 |  |  |
| #1 Sweden: Loreen | #2 Norway: Alessandra | #3 France: La Zarra |
| # | COUNTRY | PERFORMER(S) | TITLE | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | | Albania | Albina & Familja Kelmendi | Duje |
| 2 | | Armenia | Brunette | Future lover |
| 3 | | Australia | Voyager | Promise |
| 4 | | Austria | Teya & Salena | Who the hell is Edgar |
| 5 | | Azerbaijan | TuralTuranX | Tell me more |
| 6 | | Belgium | Gustaph | Because of you |
| 7 | | Croatia | Let 3 | Mama ŠČ! |
| 8 | | Cyprus | Andrew Lambrou | Break a broken heart |
| 9 | | Czechia | Vesna | My sister's crown |
| 10 | | Denmark | Reiley | Breaking my heart |
| 11 | | Estonia | Alika | Bridges |
| 12 | | Finland | Käärijä | Cha cha cha |
| 13 | | France | La Zarra | Évidemment |
| 14 | | Georgia | Iru | Echo |
| 15 | | Germany | Lord of the Lost | Blood and glitter |
| 16 | | Greece | Victor Vernicos | What they say |
| 17 | | Iceland | Diljá | Power |
| 18 | | Ireland | Wild Youth | We are one |
| 19 | | Israel | Noa Kirel | Unicorn |
| 20 | | Italy | Marco Mengoni | Due vite |
| 21 | | Latvia | Sudden Lights | Aijā |
| 22 | | Lithuania | Monika Linkytė | Stay |
| 23 | | Malta | The Busker | Dance (our own party) |
| 24 | | Moldova | Pasha Parfeni | Soarele şi luna |
| 25 | | Netherlands | Mia Nicolai & Dion Cooper | Burning daylight |
| 26 | | Norway | Alessandra | Queen of kings |
| 27 | | Poland | Blanka | Solo |
| 28 | | Portugal | Mimicat | Ai coração |
| 29 | | Romania | Theodor Andrei | D.G.T. (Off and on) |
| 30 | | San Marino | Piqued Jacks | Like an animal |
| 31 | | Serbia | Luke Black | Samo mi se spava |
| 32 | | Slovenia | Joker Out | Carpe diem |
| 33 | | Spain | Blanca Paloma | Eaea |
| 34 | | Sweden | Loreen | Tattoo |
| 35 | | Switzerland | Remo Forrer | Watergun |
| 36 | | Ukraine | TVORCHI | Heart of steel |
| 37 | | United Kingdom | Mae Muller | I wrote a song |
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